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Congress
and the executive branch must change the way they make budget decisions
to create a powerful new form of federal research.
The
call by Gerald Holton and Gerhard Sonnert in the preceding article for
government support for Jeffersonian research that is basic in nature but
clearly linked to specific goals raises several practical questions. How
might the institutions of government be expected to generate programs of
Jeffersonian research? How might such programs be managed, and how might
success and failure be assessed? Would the redirecting of a significant
fraction of public research into this third channel attract political support,
perhaps leading to more effective use of public resources as well as a
broader consensus on research investments?
No
one doubts that modern science and engineering radically expand humankind's
technological choices and can give us the knowledge with which to choose
among them. But many politicians, listening to their taxpaying constituents,
also feel it is the public's right to know what the goals of the massive
federal investments in research are. Some are vocally skeptical of large
sums invested in basic science when the advocates of basic science insist
that its outcomes cannot be predicted or values be assigned to the effort
without a long passage of time.
Congress
expects the managers of public science, whether in government or university
laboratories, not only to articulate the goals of public investment but
to measure progress toward those goals. These expectations of more explicit
accountability by the publicly supported research community are embodied
in the 1993 Government Performance and Results Act (GPRA), which requires
the sponsoring agencies to document that progress in their budget submissions
to Congress.
Many
scientists, on the other hand, are fearful that these expectations, however
well-intentioned, will lead to micromanagement of research by the sponsoring
agencies, suppressing the intellectual freedom so necessary to scientific
creativity. Planning of scientific research, they say, implies the advance
selection of strategies, thus foregoing the chance to discover new pathways
that might offer far more rapid progress in the long run. The only way
to insure a truly dynamic scientific enterprise, they say, is to leave
the scientists free to choose the problems they want to explore, probing
nature at every point where progress in understanding may be offered. The
practical benefits that flow from basic research, they would argue, far
exceed what even the most visionary managers of a utilitarian research
policy could have produced.
Skeptics
of this Newtonian view of public science (research in response to curiosity
about the workings of nature, with no other pragmatic motivation) will
acknowledge that some part of the public research effort, especially that
associated with the postgraduate training of the next generation of scientists
and engineers, must be driven by the insatiable curiosity of the best researchers.
But the politicians tell us that the federal investment in science is too
big and the pressures to spend the money on competing social or fiscal
needs are too great to allow blind faith in the power of intellectual commitment
to substitute for an accountable process based on clearly stated goals.
Some members of Congress who make this argument, such as the late George
Brown, Jr., can lay claim to being the best friends of science. Without
the politician's ability to explain to the voters why all this money is
being spent, the support for science may shrink and the public and intellectual
benefits be lost.
Scylla and Charybdis
Must the nation chose
between these two views and the policies they imply? Are we faced with
a Hobson's choice between a withering vine of public support for a free
and creative science that is seen by many as irrelevant to public needs
and a bureaucratic array of agency-managed applied research, pressing incrementally
toward public goals it hasn't the imagination to reach? There is a third
way, well known to the more visionary research managers in government,
that deserves to comprise a much more substantial part of the public research
investment than it does today. We do not have to settle for a dichotomy
of Newtonian science and Baconian research (application of existing knowledge
on behalf of a sponsor with a specified problem to solve). We can and should
dedicate a significant part of our national scientific effort to creating
the skills, capacity, and technical knowledge with which the entire scientific
enterprise of the country can address the most important issues facing
humankind, while carrying out the work in the most imaginative, creative
way.
In the urgent desire to
protect the freedom of researchers to chose the best pathways to progress,
science has often been sold to the politicians as something too mysterious
and too risky for them to understand, and too unpredictable to allow the
evaluation of the returns to the public interest until many years have
passed. The promise of unpredictable new opportunities for society is,
of course, a strong justification for Newtonian research. A portion of
the federal research budget should be exempted from the normal political
weighing of costs and near-term benefits. A recent study by the Committee
on Science, Engineering and Public Policy (COSEPUP) of the National Academies
has suggested that Newtonian research can be evaluated in compliance with
GPRA, but only if tests of intellectual merit and comparative accomplishment
internationally are the metric.
But much of America's
most creative science does contribute to identifiable areas of national
interest in really important ways. There is every reason to recognize those
connections where they are apparent and to adopt a set of national strategies
for such basic scientific and technological research that can earn the
support of Congress and form the centerpiece of a national research and
innovation strategy. We need a new model for public science, and Jeffersonian
research offers one way of articulating a central element of that new model.
The third category
An innovative society
needs more research driven by societal need but performed under the conditions
of imagination, flexibility, and competition that we associate with traditional
basic science. Donald Stokes presented a matrix of utility and fundamentality
in science and called the upper right corner "Pasteur's Quadrant," describing
Pasteur's research as goal-oriented but pursued in a basic research style.
Some in Europe call it "strategic research," intending "strategic" to imply
the existence of a goal and a strategy for achieving it, but suggesting
a lot of flexibility in the tactics for reaching the goal most effectively.
Discomfort with the binary
categorization of federal research into basic and applied goes back a good
many years. More recently, a 1995 study on the allocation of scientific
resources carried out by COSEPUP under the leadership of Frank Press, former
science adviser to President Carter, suggested that the U.S. government
budget process should isolate a category of technical activity called Federal
Science and Technology (FS&T). The committee felt that it was misleading
to present to Congress a budget proposing R&D expenditures of some
$80 billion without pointing out that only about half of this sum represented
additions to the basic stock of scientific and engineering knowledge. The
committee's objective was to distinguish the component of the federal budget
that called for creative research (in our parlance, the sum of the Newtonian
and Jeffersonian budgets) from the development, testing, and evaluation
that consume a large part of the military R&D budget but add relatively
little to basic technological knowledge. Press's effort, like our own,
was aimed at gaining acceptance for the idea that it is in the national
interest for much of the government's R&D to be carried out under highly
creative conditions.
I believe it would be
much easier to understand what is required if the agencies would define
basic research not by the character of the benefits the public expects
to gain (large but unpredictable and long-delayed benefits in the case
of Newtonian research) but rather by the highly creative environment in
which the best basic research is carried out. If this idea is accepted,
basic research may describe the environment in which both Newtonian and
Jeffersonian science are carried out. In contrast, Baconian research is,
like most industrial research, carried out in a more tightly managed and
disciplined environment, since the knowledge to solve the identified problem
is presumed to be substantially in hand.
If we pursue this line
of reasoning, we are immediately led to the realization that the goals
to which Jeffersonian research is dedicated require progress in both scientific
understanding and in new technological discoveries. Thus not only basic
science but a broad range of basic technology research of great value to
society is required. The key idea here is to separate in our policy thinking
the motives for spending public money on research from the choice of environments
in which to perform the work. Thus, the idea of a Jeffersonian research
strategy also serves to diminish the increasingly artificial distinction
between science and technology (or engineering).
A long-running
debate
The debate between Congress
and the White House over postWorld War II science policy was intense
in 1946 and 1947. Congressional Democrats, led by Senator Harley Kilgore
of West Virginia, wanted the impressive power of wartime research in government
laboratories to address the needs of civil society, as it had done in such
spectacular form in the war. Vannevar Bush, head of the Office of Scientific
Research and Development (OSRD) in President Roosevelt's administration,
observed that university scientists had demonstrated great creativity in
the development of radar, nuclear weapons, and tactics based on the new
field of operations research. He concluded that conventional industrial
and government research organizations were well suited to incremental advances
accomplished in close relationships to the intended users. But to get the
creativity and originality that produced radical progress, the researchers
needed a lot of independence. In the United States, this kind of creative
research atmosphere was most often found in the best research universities.
His proposal was to fund that work through a National Research Foundation.
Bush has been much misunderstood;
his position was much more Jeffersonian than most scientists believe. His
concept for the National Research Foundation was strongly focused on empowering
researchers outside government with a lot of independence, but it also
contained divisions devoted to medical and military goals that were clearly
focused on important long-term societal goals. He quite clearly stated
that although the military services should continue to do the majority
of defense R&D, they could be expected to push back the frontiers only
incrementally. He argued that the Defense Department needed a more freewheeling,
inventive research program, drawing on the power of creative thinking in
the universities.
By the time Congress crafted
a national science funding agency it had already been stripped of its more
pragmatic national goals. Its role would be to advance science broadly.
When finally enacted, the foundation's director would be appointed by a
science board, not by the president. President Truman's veto message, crafted
by Donald Price, objected to this lack of accountability to the president,
who must ask Congress for the agency's money. What emerged in 1953 was
a National Science Foundation devoted to the broad support of autonomous
academic science (and, by subsequent amendment, engineering).
The mission-oriented agencies
had long since inherited their research agendas from the dissolution of
the OSRD and established their own goal-oriented programs of research:
the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the Atomic Energy Commission,
and the research agencies of the three military services. Although the
Office of Naval Research (ONR) inherited much of Bush's philosophy, it
was not until the late 1950s that an Advanced Research Projects Agency
(later renamed the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency) was created
under the civilian control of the office of the Secretary of Defense to
pursue more radical innovations, which would not be likely to emerge from
military research agencies. Thus, NSF became a Newtonian agency in large
measure, and the Jeffersonian concept would have to find a home in NIH
and to some extent in the other mission-oriented agencies.
The concept that the mission
agencies were responsible for sustaining the technical skills and knowledge
infrastructure in support of national interests goes back to the Steelman
Report in 1947 and was implemented by President Eisenhower in Executive
Order 10521 on March 17, 1954. It might be said that a commitment to Jeffersonian
science is thus the law of the land. Nevertheless, convincing the agencies
to create such strategies and sell them to the White House and Congress
has been a long struggle. In many cases, the agencies responded with modest
investments in Newtonian research without a strong Jeffersonian program
that identified additional research linked to a long-range strategy. However,
the record does include some bright spots.
Jeffersonian tendencies
One can find many examples
of federally funded research that is responsive to a vision of the future
but supported by a highly creative and flexible research program. The most
dramatic and successful examples are found in pursuit of two major national
goals: defense and health. Defense research is a special case, from a public
policy perspective, because the government is the customer for the products
of private-sector innovation. Although the military services have pursued
a primarily Baconian strategy that produced continuous advances in existing
weapons systems, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA)
has invested strategically in selected areas of new science that were predictably
of great, if not well-defined, importance. In creating the nation's leading
academic capability in computer science and in digital computer networking,
largely through extended investments in a selected group of elite universities,
DARPA was following in the visionary path defined by ONR in the years after
World War II. However, the end of the Cold War has already led to a serious
retrenchment in the Defense Department's share of the nation's most creative
basic research.
The physical sciences
are not without isolated Jeffersonian programs. Much of the search for
renewable sources of energy that was initiated in the Carter administration,
but is now substantially attenuated, was of this character. So too is advanced
materials research that focuses on specific properties; this work draws
on physics, chemistry, and engineering to create useful new properties
that find their way into practical use. The program on thermonuclear fusion
has pushed back the frontiers of plasma physics and has made significant
progress toward its goal of fusion energy production. This year the administration
appears ready to launch a national research program in nanotechnology,
another potentially good example of Jeffersonian science.
The best current example
of Jeffersonian research is provided by NIH, where biomedical and clinical
research continues to satisfy the public's expectations for fundamental
advances in practical medicine on a broad front. If this model could be
translated to the rest of science, the apparent conflict between creativity
and utility would be largely resolved. It was this model that Senator Barbara
Mikulski had in mind in challenging NSF to identify a substantial fraction
of its research as "strategic," specifying the broad societal goal to which
the research might contribute. But health science is a special area in
which, at least until recently, most of the benefit-delivery institutions
(hospitals) were public or nonprofit private institutions, and no one objected
to support by government of the clinical research that links biological
science to medical practice. In the pursuit of economic objectives, on
the other hand, the U.S. government is expected to let industry take responsibility
for translating new scientific discoveries into commercial products, except
where government is the customer for the ultimate product.
Still other programs,
such as the NSF program on Research Applied to National Needs (RANN), were
much more controversial than NIH biomedical science or DARPA computer networking.
RANN was a response to public pressures of the early 1970s for more relevance
of university science to social needs. RANN called for research to be performed
on relatively narrowly defined, long-term national needs, such as research
to mitigate the damage caused by fire. It was probably more successful
than it is given credit for, but the appearance of the word "applied" in
the title made many scientists, accustomed to NSF's support of basic research,
feel threatened.
At about the same time,
Congress passed the Mansfield Amendment (section 203 of the Defense Procurement
Authority Act of 1970), which stated that no research could be funded unless
it "has a direct and apparent relationship to a specific military function
or operation." The defense research agencies then required that academic
proposals document the contribution to military interests that each project
might make. The academic scientists could only speculate about possible
military benefits; most simply had no knowledge that would permit them
to make such a judgement. Clearly, even if the government program officers
had made those judgements and communicated a broad strategy to the scientific
community, the requirement that the researchers document the government's
strategy was inappropriate. This requirement, imposed at a time when universities
were caught up in opposition to the Vietnam War and suspicious of defense
research support, seemed to validate the scientists' fears of what goal-oriented
public research would entail.
Researchers are concerned
not about the fact that government agencies have public interest goals
for the research that they support but about the way in which agency goals
are allowed to spill over into the conduct of the research. The NIH precedent
demonstrates that as long as the agency's scientific managers defend the
goals (diagnosing and ameliorating disease) and defend the strategy for
achieving them (basic research in biology and clinical medicine) with equal
vigor, a Jeffersonian strategy for progress toward goals through creative
research can be successful. When, as in the case of the Mansfield Amendment,
the government takes a political shortcut by transferring responsibility
for justifying the investment from the agency to the individual researchers,
both science and the public interest suffer.
The corporate research
managers in the best firms offer examples of the appropriate way to manage
Jeffersonian research. Corporate laboratories that engage in basic research
hire the most talented scientists whose training and interest lie within
the scope of the firm's future needs. Research managers make sure that
the scientists are aware of those commercial needs and have access to the
best information about work in the field around the world. They reward
technological progress when it seems of special value. They recognize that
progress in scientific understanding can not only offer new possibilities
for products but can also inform technological choice and support the construction
of technology roadmaps. In such laboratories one hears very little talk
of basic or applied research. These labels are not felt to be useful. All
long-range industrial research is seen as both need-driven and opportunistic,
and in that sense Jeffersonian.
Losing balance
The leaders of the conservative
104th Congress waged a broad attack on national research programs that
were justified by goals defined by the government (other than defense and
health). At the same time, Rep. Robert Walker (R-Pa.), the new chair of
the House Science Committee, claimed to be the defender of basic science.
To symbolize this position, he removed the word "technology" from the committee's
name. But Mary Good, undersecretary of commerce for technology in the first
Clinton administration, often pointed out the dangers of a strategy of
relying solely on research performed for the satisfaction of intellectual
curiosity. The politicians would soon realize, she said, that U.S. basic
science was part of an internationally shared system from which all nations
benefit. Failing to see how U.S. citizens would gain economic advantage
from a national strategy that made no effort to target U.S. needs and opportunities,
future Congresses might cut back funding of basic science even further.
Equally dangerous, of course, is a nearsighted program of incremental research
aimed at marginal improvements in the way things are done today. The nation
will not be able to transform its economy into an environmentally sustainable
one, develop safe and secure new energy sources, or learn how to educate
its children effectively without a great many new ideas.
The United States should
rely primarily on research performed under highly creative conditions,
the conditions we associate with basic science. But we need not forego
the benefits and the accountability that identifying our collective goals
can bring. Indeed, if government agencies would generate long-term investment
strategies and clearly articulate the basis for their expectations of progress,
the nation would end up with the best of both worlds: research that is
demonstrably productive and that helps build the future.
Next steps
To achieve this goal,
government leaders must begin taking a much longer view, justifying and
managing the work to maximize public benefits, taking into account both
public and private investments. In every area of government activity, the
responsible agencies should be investing in carefully planned programs
to enhance the nation's capacity to address specific issues in the most
creative way. This strategy brings leverage to private-sector innovation,
which can be expected to produce many, if not most, of the practical solutions
to public problems. For this reason, a much larger fraction of the federal
research agenda should be pursued under basic research conditions. At the
same time, a larger fraction of the agenda should be linked directly to
identified national interests. These two objectives are not only not in
conflict; they support one another. Achieving these objectives will require
a recognition that Jeffersonian research is as important to the future
of the United States today as was the Lewis and Clark expedition two centuries
ago, as well as a federal budgeting system that accommodates Jeffersonian
as well as Newtonian and Baconian research.
To put the government
on the right path, the Office of Science and Technology Policy should begin
by selecting a few compelling, long-range issues facing the nation for
which there is a widely recognized need for new technological options and
new scientific understanding. This exercise would be similar to the one
that Frank Press and President Carter conducted 20 years ago. Identifying
a target issue would engage all of the relevant agencies, which now develop
separate plans for their individual missions, in a concerted strategy of
long-range creative research.
A candidate for such a
project is the issue of the transition to sustainability in the United
States and the world. A soon-to-be-released four-year study by the NRC's
Board on Sustainable Development, entitled Our Common Journey: A Transition
Toward Sustainability, will outline what research is needed in a wide range
of disciplines and how this research needs to be coordinated in order to
be effective. Indeed, the report will go beyond research concerns to analyze
how today's techno-economic systems must be restructured in order to achieve
environmentally sustainable growth. The preparation of a Jeffersonian research
strategy for the transition to sustainability would provide the next president
with an initiative that would compare favorably in scope, importance, and
daring with the launching of the Lewis and Clark expedition by President
Jefferson.
When the administration
presented its R&D budget to Congress for FY 2000, the president called
special attention to a collection of budget items that, in the administration's
view, were the creative (Newtonian and Jeffersonian) components of the
budget. He called these items "The 21st Century Research Fund" and asked
Congress to give them special consideration. This initiative was quite
consistent with the spirit of the 1995 Press Report's recommendation that
the budget isolate for special attention the FS&T component as they
defined it. When the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) director announced
the president's budget, he made specific reference to his intent to implement
the spirit of the FS&T proposal, weeding out budget items that do not
reflect the creativity, flexibility, and originality requirements that
we associate with research as distinct from development.
Based on these two precedents,
the staffs of the appropriations committees in the House and Senate, together
with experts from OMB, should restructure the current typology of "basic,
applied, and development" in a way that accommodates, separately, the public
justification for research investments and the management environment in
which the work is conducted. Such a restructuring has been urged in the
past by others, particularly the General Accounting Office.
To explore the practicality
of these ideas and to engage the participation of a broader community of
stakeholders in the national research enterprise, a national conference
should be called to prepare a nonpartisan proposal for consideration by
all the candidates for president. The bicentenary of Jefferson's assumption
of the presidency would seem a good year to initiate this change. |