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This means a
cap on our n-arsenal, says Brajesh Mishra, facts show
otherwise
SHISHIR GUPTA &
C RAJA MOHAN
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Brajesh Mishra, who was National Security Advisor
during the Pokharan nuclear tests in 1998, today
questioned Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s assurance
to US President George Bush on segregation of Indian
civilian and military nuclear facilities, saying it
amounts to acceptance of a ‘‘cap’’ on the size of New
Delhi’s minimum credible nuclear deterrent.
Speaking to The Indian Express in New Delhi, Mishra
said: ‘‘The promise made yesterday in Washington means
that we are accepting a cap on the size of our nuclear
deterrent with a small number of nuclear weapons.’’
According to Mishra, the NDA government had offered to
put a ‘‘couple of existing nuclear facilities under
full scope guards but the offer was never accepted’’
by the US.
‘‘The idea was that there would be enough fissile
material from the reactors not under safeguards for
India’s minimum credible deterrent...But by effecting
a separation between civilian and nuclear facilities,
India would in fact be agreeing to the basic provision
of a future fissile material cut-off treaty even
before an international treaty on that crucial subject
is negotiated and put into effect by other nuclear
weapon states,’’ he said.
He said the UPA government’s argument that New Delhi
would only be doing what other nuclear weapon states
had already done did not hold water. ‘‘The size of
their nuclear deterrent is immense in comparison to
ours,’’ Mishra said.
Observers in Washington are surprised at these
comments. Sources in the Indian delegation dismiss
Mishra’s main argument that the deal with the US
involves a “cap” or a limit on the size of India’s
nuclear weapon programme.
Sources said hard-ball negotiations with the US were
built on the “basic premise that a cap on the size of
India’s arsenal will be absolutely unacceptable” to
the UPA government.
Those familiar with the internal discussions inside
the Bush Administration say US non-proliferation
hardliners wanted a limit on the size of India’s
nuclear weapons material as a precondition for
civilian nuclear cooperation with India. At the
political level, the American leadership recognised
that such a precondition would be a non-starter and
rejected it out of the negotiating framework.
Sources see little merit in Mishra’s argument that
separating the civil and military programmes will
limit the production of weapons-useable material for
the Indian programme, essentially plutonium.
Under the pact it is India’s sovereign right to define
which of its facilities are civilian and which are
military. The joint statement makes it clear that it
is India’s call to first “identify” which are the
civilian facilities and then “separate” them from the
military programme. The pact with the US obliges India
only to “file” a notification with the International
Atomic Energy Agency on what it considers are its
civilian facilities.
Like other nuclear weapon states, India is under no
obligation to spell out which of its facilities are
“military”.
The language of the joint statement is plain enough to
suggest that it is entirely up to India to choose
which of its facilities it would put under “voluntary”
international safeguards.
This in essence is no different from the offer of the
BJP government, in its earlier negotiations with the
US on the nuclear issue, to put some of India’s
nuclear reactors under safeguards.
Sources said the BJP government had, in fact,
seriously considered the separation of India’s
civilian and military facilities in return from much
fewer political gains from the United States.
The historic nuclear accord with the US, sources say,
now allows comprehensive civil nuclear energy
cooperation with “no limits what so ever” on India’s
own ability to produce fissile material for nuclear
weapons.
In an ideal world, the BJP and the principal
functionaries of its rule during 1998-2004 should be
taking credit for laying the foundation for India’s
nuclear diplomacy. But in the real world, BJP might be
deeply uncomfortable with the fact that the Congress
and the UPA are reaping the rewards. This is not very
different from what was seen in 1998—the NDA reaping
gains from the Congress government's preparations for
nuclear tests in December 1995.
That the UPA has been able to secure better terms than
the BJP, ultimately, has to do with the fact that
India, irrespective of which party governs it, has
become stronger by the day over the last decade.
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Courtesy :The Indian Express Jul
20, 2005
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