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If India sets out to build
nuclear reactors that could generate 20,000 megawatts
(MW) or 40,000 MW of electricity, this could be a
large-scale effort, involving perhaps $40 billion of
imported equipment. Eventually, this could be a way to
“use foreign exchange reserves” to build
infrastructure. But it is important to be sure that
these big decisions are made wisely.
The nuclear energy agreement with the US commits India
to separate military and civilian nuclear facilities,
like nuclear weapon states do. India will provide the
International Atomic Energy Agency with a list of
civilian facilities and allow inspection of these
facilities, placing them under safeguards. In return,
India gets access to nuclear technology, equipment and
fuel. The time it will take to achieve this gives us
breathing space to address domestic issues. It is time
for us to separate nuclear weapons work from the task
of nuclear reactors as a tool for electricity
generation.
Currently, nuclear power is generated by the Nuclear
Power Corporation of India Ltd (NPCIL) under the
Department of Atomic Energy. The Atomic Energy
Regulatory Board deals with nuclear safety. Nuclear
energy generation is similar to hydel generation in
having high fixed costs and low marginal costs. French
data for 2003 shows the cost of construction of a
nuclear plant as being 30 per cent higher than that of
a comparable coal-fired plant. NPCIL data — which
probably do not show all costs associated with the
Indian nuclear effort — suggest an apparent price of
Rs 6 crore per MW for nuclear capacity.
A lot has been said about the role of nuclear energy
in a world with high oil prices. However, the
viability of nuclear power is not obvious. It depends
on interest rates. At high interest rates and low oil
prices, nuclear generation is not competitive. It is
only if a generator can count on low interest rates
and high oil prices, over the coming 25 years, that
nuclear generation becomes commercially viable.
So far, India has run a special programme for nuclear
power, where nuclear weapons and nuclear reactors were
mixed up. But once it becomes a technology available
to the power industry, our attitude, and its exotic
status, needs to change. We need to start thinking of
a nuclear plant that makes electricity as a factory,
run on commercial principles.
The availability of the nuclear option should then be
treated as another option for the electricity
generation industry. Instead of a separate nuclear
power programme that has to be pursued regardless of
viability, nuclear generation should be a choice
analysed by all power generation companies. Nuclear
generation was once an end. Now nuclear generation
should be treated as a means. It must be pursued when,
and only when, it is cheaper than alternatives for
electricity generation.
We might assume that government ownership ensures
safety, but Chernobyl was state-owned. The last thing
India needs is a nuclear accident. That will shut down
our nuclear power programme for decades to come.
We must remember that industrial safety is a public
good. The government must play a much more active role
in ensuring safety if nuclear power is going to
expand. Under the new agreements which may come about,
international inspectors will be in Indian nuclear
thermal plants, with a focus on non-proliferation
issues. In addition, an Indian regulatory effort
should focus on safety of fissile materials through
the full fuel cycle, safety of the reactor, potential
terrorist attacks, etc.
How can the nuclear industry in India be organised,
with a separation of weapons and electricity
generation? Currently, both civilian and military uses
of nuclear power are under the Department of Atomic
Energy. The following proposals would help improve
focus, transparency and incentives.
One, the nuclear weapons effort should be shifted into
the ministry of defence. It would make sense to
identify the labs, personnel and facilities which are
devoted to weapons, and move them into the defence
establishment.
Two, the Atomic Energy Regulatory Board should be
shifted to the ministry of power, to set safety
standards and monitor civilian nuclear electricity
generation, focusing on safety. Its task should be
broadened to take full responsibility for the nuclear
cycle, selling fuel to power utilities, and taking
waste out of the utilities.
Three, an “Energy Research Mission”, under the
ministry of power, needs to be set up, to fund R&D at
universities into new generation technologies such as
thorium-based and fusion-based reactors. So, existing
DAE labs should either be shifted into the ministry of
defence, for weapons work, or merged into various
universities, for electricity work.
Four, at present Nuclear Power Corporation of India
focuses on nuclear energy regardless of cost. A merger
of NPCIL and NTPC would make a unified electricity
generation company, which would make calculations
about the role of coal versus uranium based purely on
commercial considerations.
Five, the teams and factories in the DAE establishment
which produce reactors should be sold to BHEL, so that
BHEL becomes a unified company selling electricity
generation equipment, ranging from hydel to coal to
uranium based processes. BHEL should aspire to compete
in the global market, selling the full range of
equipment for electricity generation technologies.
In the last 50 years, India’s nuclear establishment
has focused on building nuclear reactors as an end in
themselves, without any concern for economic
viability. If the India-US pact goes through, we would
stand at a new frontier of commercial exploitation of
nuclear electricity, which could have tremendous
ramifications for India’s energy scenario,
particularly if global warming becomes a major issue.
But this requires that we must de-exoticise nuclear
electricity generation. Our goal should be to bring
hard-nosed commercial considerations to bear on
nuclear electricity, as it does all over the world.
Electricity generation companies should make choices
between hydel, solar, diesel, coal, gas and uranium
routes to electricity based purely on economic
viability. This requires us to fully reorganise our
nuclear establishment, separating out the three
activities of weapons, R&D and electricity
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